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card counting fallacies

3 Blackjack Card Counting Fallacies

by bluxed on January 13, 2008

Fallacy 1: Complicated Card Counting Strategies Are More Successful

A card counting system can be complicated or it can be simple, it depends on the system. The fact the system is complicated does NOT guarantee it will be more successful than a simple one. There is no correlation between the complexity of a card counting systems and the profitability.

Fallacy 2: Card Counters Can Predict the Sequence of Cards

Card counting in blackjack does not allow card counters to predict the sequence of cards that come out of the deck. In reality, it is impossible to detect the sequence of the remaining cards. Card counting is not a predictive theory. It is simply a probability theory that will put the odds in your favor over the long term. Short-term results can of course vary dramatically. This myth is popular because of the movie Rain Man

Fallacy 3: You Don’t Need A Large Bankroll To Win When Card Counting

Once a player has learned how to count cards in blackjack, they will very often feel invincible. When playing at the table they feel that they won’t need much money due to the skills that they have learned. Card counting can give you an edge in the longer term, but in the shorter term, you can, and will have losing streaks. and you need an adequate bankroll to ride them

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